EU-27 Broiler Meat Production and Trade to Expand

An Expert's View about Poultry in the Netherlands

Posted on: 19 Mar 2012

EU-27 broiler meat production forecast for 2012 has been slightly revised downward (but still higher than in 2011) from previous estimates.

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report - public distribution Date: 3/1/2012 GAIN Report Number: FR9092 EU-27 Poultry and Products Semi-annual EU-27 Broiler Meat Production, Consumption, and Trade to Expand Again in 2012 Approved By: Lashonda McLeod Prepared By: Xavier Audran Report Highlights: EU-27 broiler meat production forecast for 2012 has been slightly revised downward (but still higher than in 2011) from previous estimates mainly due to the difficult economic situation which is foreseen to slow the growth in domestic demand for broiler meat. The broiler meat import forecast is raised due to the strong demand in EU-27 for low-cost broiler meat preparations made with imported products from Thailand and Brazil. While broiler meat export estimates for 2012 show an apparent decline from previous estimates, this trend hides the removal of chicken paw export figures to Hong Kong and China, which were included in the previous estimates. EU-27 broiler meat exports are expected to grow again in 2012 from 2011, fueled by strong demand in the Middle East and Asia. DISCLAIMER The numbers in the PSDs in this report are not official USDA numbers, but they result from a collaborative effort by FAS EU offices to consolidate PSDs from all 27 EU member states. This report is the result of active collaboration with the following EU FAS colleagues in the following member states: Xavier Audran from FAS Paris covering France Stefano Baldi from FAS Rome covering Italy Ornella Bettini from FAS Rome covering Greece Mila Boshnakova from FAS Sofia covering Bulgaria Monica Dobrescu from FAS Bucharest covering Romania Bob Flach from FAS The Hague covering the Benelux Diogo Machado from FAS Madrid covering Portugal and Spain Steve Knight from FAS London covering the United Kingdom and Ireland Roswitha Krautgartner from FAS Vienna covering Austria Leif Erik Rehder from FAS Berlin covering Germany Jana Mikulasova from FAS Prague covering the Czech Republic and Slovak Republic Ferenc Nemes from FAS Budapest covering Hungary and Slovenia Yvan Polet from FAS Brussels / U.S. Mission to the EU Piotr Rucinski from FAS Warsaw covering Poland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania Asa Wideback from FAS Stockholm covering Denmark, Finland and Sweden Commodities: Poultry, Meat, Broiler Production: EU-27 broiler meat production forecast for 2012 has been slightly revised downward (but still higher than in 2011) from previous estimates due to lower than anticipated production mainly in Poland, Greece, UK, and Romania. The main reasons are the overall difficult economic situation combined with high grain prices and stagnant producer prices in several major producing countries such as Poland. The downward revision of Romania?s official broiler meat production figures strengthened the trend. Consumption: The EU-27 domestic consumption of broiler meat is forecast to further increase in 2012 from 2011, driven by a combination of term diet changes away from red meats and a sluggish economy which encourages the consumption of lower-cost poultry meat. Note: New consumption figures have been adjusted upward to reflect the removal of chicken paws in broiler meat export figures, and hide a real consumption growth figure which is expected to be slower than previously anticipated due notably to the increasing economical problems in several EU countries. Trade: The broiler meat import forecast for 2012 has been raised in line with the growth of imports in 2011 and the strong demand in EU-27 for low-cost broiler meat preparations made with imported products from Thailand and Brazil. While broiler meat export estimates for 2012 show an apparent decline from previous estimates, this trend hides the removal of chicken paw export figures to Hong Kong and China which were included in the previous estimates. EU-27 broiler exports are expected to grow again in 2012 from 2011, fueled by strong demand in the Middle East and Asia. Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics: Poultry, Meat, Broiler EU-27 2010 2011 2012 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2011 USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post Inventory (Reference) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Slaughter (Reference) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Beginning Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 0 Production 9,245 9,202 9,500 9,420 9,630 9,600 Total Imports 677 681 700 718 710 740 Total Supply 9,922 9,883 10,200 10,138 10,340 10,340 Total Exports 992 929 1,100 1,036 1,120 1,060 Human Consumption 8,930 8,954 9,100 9,102 9,220 9,280 Other Use, Losses 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Dom. Consumption 8,930 8,954 9,100 9,102 9,220 9,280 Total Use 9,922 9,883 10,200 10,138 10,340 10,340 Ending Stocks 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Distribution 9,922 9,883 10,200 10,138 10,340 10,340 MIL HEAD, 1000 MT, PERCENT, PEOPLE, KG Note: Per revised FAS instructions, exports of chicken paws to Hong Kong and China have been excluded from EU-27 broiler meat exports. Hong-Kong and China imports of chicken paws from EU- 27 amounted to 79,500 MT in CY 2011.
Posted: 19 March 2012

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