Sugar Annual Report

An Expert's View about Tropical and Subtropical Fruits, Sugar Cane in Venezuela

Posted on: 30 Apr 2012

The Venezuelan sugar industry foresees domestic production only slightly increasing in 2012, constrained by low profitability and the absence of government incentives.

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report - public distribution Date: 4/25/2012 GAIN Report Number: VE1204 Venezuela Sugar Annual Sugar Annual Report Approved By: David W. Cottrell Prepared By: Jonathan Martinez Report Highlights: The Venezuelan sugar industry foresees domestic production only slightly increasing in 2012, constrained by low profitability and the absence of government incentives to support cane output. Total imports are expected to be about 800,000 metric tons. The government recently increased the regulated consumer price to Bs. 6.11 per kilogram, an amount that may cover production costs but not large enough to stimulate further investment or expansion. Executive Summary: A combination of price controls, decreasing cane planted area, fear of expropriation, and large amounts of imports continue to negatively impact the domestic sugar industry. Refined sugar production is estimated at 503,007 metric tons. The Bolivarian Government of Venezuela (BGV) regulates the price of sugar for the domestic market, which is currently Bs. 6.11 per kilogram. Imports will be needed to cover the needs of the soft drink and confectionary industries. Commodities: Sugar, Centrifugal Production: Production and Milling: VENAZUCAR, Venezuela’s sugar milling industry association, has reported that millers are not increasing investment because price controls on refined sugar limit profitability. Estimates for refined sugar production stand at 503,007 metric tons for 2012. There are 16 operating sugar mills in the country, 10 of those are managed by the BGV. Most of them were either occupied or expropriated by the BGV since 2005. However, some reports from the Corporacion Venezolana de Alimentos indicate that despite the BGV owns most of the mills, they only produce 20% of the sugar that is consumed in the country and the private sector continues supplying the 80% of the consumers demand. Even with extensive land and suitable weather, cane producers cannot meet domestic demand. Historically, between 70 to 75 percent of the country’s sugar demand is met by domestic production, while imports account for the rest. Now, between 40 to 45 percent of sugar demand is met by domestic production and imports covers around 55 to 60 percent of total demand. The first sugar cane harvest takes place from November through April, and the second from June through November. The first harvest is responsible for about 70 percent of the cane cut in Venezuela, and the second harvest for the remainder. Two Venezuelan mills, Central La Pastora and Central Carora, located in Lara State in the northwest, have plantations on which cane can be harvested all year long. Area Planted According to Venazucar, the majority of cane growers are considered to have small or medium size plantings. Total area planted to sugar cane is estimated at 105,000 hectares for 2012. Sugar cane growers are reluctant to increase area planted because there are no price incentives due to controlled prices and there is a fear of being expropriated. Consumption: The sugar industry forecasts that consumption will not increase significantly in the short term. Demand for 2012 is estimated at 1.3 million tons of refined sugar. Annual per capita consumption fluctuates between 39 and 41 kilograms. Recently, the soft drink processing industry has been receiving less sugar because the BGV directed a greater share of product to domestic/home consumption. The BGV then increased sugar imports to avoid a national sugar shortage. The industrial food sector is composed of soft drinks and snacks such as cookies, crackers, and confectionary. The Venezuelan soft drink industry uses 100 percent sugar without any fructose or other sweetener for its non-diet beverages. In early 2011, there were severe sugar shortages and the BGV attributed them to some sugar producers illegally exporting unrefined sugar to Colombian producers of chocolate products and other sweets to. These exports kept large amounts of stocks off the domestic market. The BGV believes that by creating an artificial shortage, an informal market was created that was used by some producers to increase profits. Sugar on the informal market can sell at more than double the regulated price. Trade: Imports: VENAZUCAR estimates imports of raw sugar at 700,000 metric tons and 100,000 metric tons of refined sugar nearly all from Brazil and some from Central America. Tariff Changes: The present base tariff on sugar is 20 percent ad valorem calculated on a CIF price basis. Sugar is included in the Andean Community price-band variable-levy system. This tariff system was implemented by Venezuela for sugar and several other agricultural products in September 1995. Raw and refined sugar coming from the Andean Community enters Venezuela duty free. Bilateral agreements signed between Venezuela and Guatemala, Nicaragua and El Salvador also give sugar from these countries duty free entry. Policy: Current Issues: Several issues have a negative impact on the production; price controls, land expropriations, lack of transportation, security concerns, lack of inputs, fertilizers and even labor force problems. In March 2012 the BGV announced that they approved 725 million of Bolivars (US$ 168 million) to reactive the production in those mills managed by them. However, the private sector does not foresee a significant increase of the production with this announcement, according to them the BGV has promised to reactivate the production in the past but nothing happened. VENAZUCAR representatives put sugar cane processing levels back in 2005 at almost 9 million metric tons per year. At that time, most mills were owned and run by the private sector. Today, the BGV owns most of the mills and processing levels have dropped significantly. Prices: Refined sugar continues to be under the retail price control policy established by the government in 2003. In January 2012 the BGV increased the regulated consumer price to 6.11 Bolivars* per kilogram. Representatives of the National Federation of Associations of Venezuelan Cane Producers (FESOCA) consider this price sufficient to cover production costs in the short term. They met with officials from the Ministry of Agriculture and Lands to discuss the price. However, FESOCA agrees with Venazucar regarding the limitation that price controls have over the investment to increase the production. The list of regulated consumer prices published on the Official Gazette No 39,835 shows: A kilogram of refined sugar Bs. 6.11 900 grams of refined sugar Bs. 5.59 A kilogram of brown sugar Bs. 5.88 900 grams of brown sugar Bs. 5.29 The BGV’s retail network MERCAL (Mercado de Alimentos C.A.), markets food products at low prices. The price of a kilogram of refined sugar is Bs. 1.72. *1 US$ = 4.3 Bolivars. Marketing: As mentioned above, both the government and the private sector currently sell refined sugar. Sugar millers continue to offer refined sugar under their brands through Venezuela’s traditional retail sector (supermarkets, “mom and pop” stores, convenience stores, etc). On the other hand, the BGV directly imports raw and refined sugar through its food purchasing entity, CASA, (Corporación de Abastecimiento y Servicios Agricolas) and then sells it through its MERCAL food distribution stores at lower retail prices. The stores sell government-subsided products to the lower economic classes. The Venezuelan consumer prefers refined sugar but shortages in early 2011 opened the market for different sugar products. Brown sugar and fruit lactose products are now options taken into consideration by consumers and their markets have expanded. Fruit lactose products are currently not under the controlled price regime. Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics: Sugar, Centrifugal Venezuela 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 Market Year Begin: Sep Market Year Begin: Sep Market Year Begin: Sep 2010 2011 2012 USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post USDA Official New Post Beginning Stocks 316 316 351 351 351 Beet Sugar Production 0 0 0 0 0 Cane Sugar Production 490 490 490 503 523 Total Sugar Production 490 490 490 503 523 Raw Imports 750 750 700 700 680 Refined Imp.(Raw Val) 100 100 100 100 100 Total Imports 850 850 800 800 780 Total Supply 1,656 1,656 1,641 1,654 1,654 Raw Exports 0 0 0 0 0 Refined Exp.(Raw Val) 0 0 0 0 0 Total Exports 0 0 0 0 0 Human Dom. Consumption 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300 Other Disappearance 5 5 5 3 5 Total Use 1,305 1,305 1,305 1,303 1,305 Ending Stocks 351 351 336 351 349 Total Distribution 1,656 1,656 1,641 1,654 1,654 1000 MT
Posted: 30 April 2012